Model Predictions
| Model | Furman Paladins | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.1% | 54.9% | +1.1 | ✗ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mercer Bears -11 (49-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Furman Paladins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Coyle | 40 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 18 | - |
| A. Ervin | 37 | 6-17 | 1-5 | 7-10 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| R. McGowens | 37 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 12 | - |
| L. Bailey | 34 | 2-8 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Stuart | 28 | 5-15 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 3 | - |
| S. Pearl | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| S. Taylor | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T. Berry | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. King | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Diarra | 29 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Abby Holtman | 29 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Rania Curry | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Ste. Utomi | 21 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Talia Kemp | 20 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Elena Cabello | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Micah O'Dell | 19 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | - |
| Talia Harris | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ariana Bennett | 12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Lex Brewster | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Drantmann | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter