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2025-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Mercer Bears Jacksonville State Gamecocks Spread Result
Elo 53.5% 46.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 53.1% 46.9% - โœ—
Margin 24.5% 75.5% +6.2 โœ“ (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 50.2% 49.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 28.0% 72.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 27.2% 72.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.3% 63.7% - โœ“

Actual: Jacksonville State Gamecocks +10 (72-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mercer Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ariana Bennett 32 4-16 0-1 2-2 8 1 1 3 3 10 4 -4.4
Talia Harris 31 2-10 0-1 3-5 5 2 0 0 0 7 4 -5.2
N. Diarra 28 4-7 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 9 4 +5.0
Talia Kemp 27 5-10 0-2 2-3 2 1 2 1 3 12 5 -6.1
Elena Cabello 23 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 5 -0.9
Abby Holtman 19 2-6 1-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 5 2 +11.6
Ste. Utomi 12 1-3 0-0 3-3 3 0 0 0 0 5 5 +0.0
Lex Brewster 11 3-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 8 6 +9.4
R. Drantmann 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -0.6
Rania Curry 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 0 1 -1.6

Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Barnes 35 5-14 2-4 0-1 13 1 0 5 1 12 16 +2.3
B. McDaniel 35 5-8 0-0 3-3 7 3 0 0 2 13 13 -0.2
E. Sample 33 1-6 0-3 3-4 7 2 0 1 0 5 9 +0.2
K. Thornsbury 26 6-11 2-5 4-5 1 2 0 0 2 18 8 +8.6
M. Hobdy 25 5-12 1-5 1-4 6 3 2 0 3 12 8 -1.3
Adriana Jones 23 1-6 1-3 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 5 0 +1.9
M. Djurdjevic 16 3-9 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 7 -1 -2.7
V. Carvalho 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 0 3 -6.1

* = starter