Model Predictions
| Model | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.0% | 57.0% | +1.6 | ✗ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mercer Bears -7 (51-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. López | 36 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Carmen Richardson | 34 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Anala Nelson | 32 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Kennedy Younkin | 30 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Jaidyn Harper | 23 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Emmah McAmis | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Paige Lyons | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Lucia France | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| SaBreya Monsanto | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Lucy Hood | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rania Curry | 34 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Micah O'Dell | 33 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 2 | - |
| N. Diarra | 32 | 2-15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -4 | - |
| Abby Holtman | 27 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Ariana Bennett | 19 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Ste. Utomi | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Elena Cabello | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Talia Kemp | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Talia Harris | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Drantmann | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter