Model Predictions
| Model | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Furman Paladins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.2% | 62.8% | +2.9 | ✗ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Furman Paladins -3 (55-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaidyn Harper | 37 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | +4.8 |
| Meghan Downing | 36 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | +5.4 |
| Anala Nelson | 34 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 3 | -2.8 |
| D. López | 33 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Carmen Richardson | 25 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 15 | +2.2 |
| SaBreya Monsanto | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +2.5 |
| Emmah McAmis | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +3.5 |
| Kennedy Younkin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.4 |
| Yanessa Boyd | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Paige Lyons | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.2 |
Furman Paladins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Coyle | 40 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 20 | +5.3 |
| R. McGowens | 35 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | -1.1 |
| L. Bailey | 35 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | -3.1 |
| C. Stuart | 26 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | -6.5 |
| S. Taylor | 24 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | +0.6 |
| A. Ervin | 24 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -1 | +3.5 |
| B. King | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.9 |
| S. Pearl | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.8 |
* = starter