Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.7% | 64.3% | +3.2 | ✗ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers -5 (45-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Diarra | 35 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Micah O'Dell | 31 | 1-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | - |
| Rania Curry | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Talia Kemp | 28 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Ste. Utomi | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Abby Holtman | 18 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Ariana Bennett | 18 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Talia Harris | 12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Elena Cabello | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Drantmann | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Richardson | 39 | 5-16 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | -1 | - |
| Jaidyn Harper | 33 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Meghan Downing | 31 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Anala Nelson | 29 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D. López | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Paige Lyons | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Emmah McAmis | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| SaBreya Monsanto | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Lucia France | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kennedy Younkin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lucy Hood | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter