Model Predictions
| Model | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | UNC Greensboro Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.4% | 51.6% | +0.3 | ✗ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UNC Greensboro Spartans -10 (48-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Richardson | 37 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +7.2 |
| Anala Nelson | 33 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +6.6 |
| Meghan Downing | 31 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 16 | +11.5 |
| D. López | 31 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | +8.4 |
| Jaidyn Harper | 28 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | -1.7 |
| Paige Lyons | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -1.8 |
| Lucy Hood | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8.1 |
| Emmah McAmis | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3.0 |
| Kennedy Younkin | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.9 |
| Lucia France | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4.9 |
UNC Greensboro Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeni Levine | 36 | 7-15 | 4-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 13 | +3.1 |
| Tasia Johnson | 35 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -1.6 |
| Makiah Asidanya | 29 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | -13.9 |
| Ciara Harris | 24 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +17.9 |
| Mia Simpson | 21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +6.6 |
| Rylan Moffitt | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -5.7 |
| Kristina Rakotobe | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +3.6 |
| Joelle Davis | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -6.7 |
| Leyla Minor | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -5.2 |
| Salimata Traore | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +2.2 |
* = starter