Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 99.9% | 0.1% | -37.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers -38 (50-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Ziegler | 28 | 6-12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | -31.9 |
| T. Roberts | 25 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -10.2 |
| E. Istanbulluoglu | 22 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | -12.6 |
| I. Berry | 21 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 19 | -16.5 |
| R. Bender | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -20.4 |
| Reyna Scott | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | -17.1 |
| A. Hardy | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -21.7 |
| Skylar Jones | 15 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -18.2 |
| M. Randolph | 15 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -6.5 |
| Y. Putra | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -8.2 |
| R. Graves | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -3.7 |
| P. Bradley | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +4.7 |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaidyn Harper | 28 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -5 | +33.7 |
| Carmen Richardson | 27 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | +31.4 |
| Anala Nelson | 24 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 4 | +10.2 |
| D. López | 21 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | +9.6 |
| Emmah McAmis | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | +29.4 |
| Meghan Downing | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | +9.1 |
| Kennedy Younkin | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +12.9 |
| Lucy Hood | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.4 |
| Yanessa Boyd | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | +16.7 |
| SaBreya Monsanto | 10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | +7.1 |
| Lucia France | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +11.4 |
| G. Grüttner Bacoul | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Maya McCorkle | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.8 |
* = starter