Model Predictions
| Model | Elon Phoenix | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.1% | 45.9% | -0.9 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers -9 (56-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Angel | 34 | 5-16 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 2 | +1.9 |
| M. Pass | 25 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2.6 |
| Tyana Walker | 25 | 4-13 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2.0 |
| L. Anderson | 25 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +4.0 |
| Q. Fulmore | 24 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +0.5 |
| A. Fox | 22 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | -0.6 |
| L. Corbett | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | +1.3 |
| T. Watkins | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +2.3 |
| K. Doty | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +0.9 |
| K. Morrow | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +1.9 |
| R. Willard | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.0 |
| S. Khalil | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.6 |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Richardson | 38 | 7-19 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 9 | -0.4 |
| Kennedy Younkin | 36 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | -2.2 |
| Anala Nelson | 32 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Jaidyn Harper | 28 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Lucy Hood | 26 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -6 | -1.5 |
| SaBreya Monsanto | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | -1.6 |
| Yanessa Boyd | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Paige Lyons | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +0.3 |
| Lucia France | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.9 |
* = starter