Model Predictions
| Model | Chattanooga Mocs | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.7% | 47.3% | -0.6 | ✓ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers -12 (41-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Elisaldez | 39 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | +14.2 |
| G. Corbitt | 33 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | +18.2 |
| A. Card | 32 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +10.8 |
| I. McPherson | 31 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 8 | +8.7 |
| F. Bedke | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +6.6 |
| F. van der Schans | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +1.2 |
| K. Ford | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1.9 |
| S. Owona | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
| E. Bruce | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.6 |
| K. Wilson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Richardson | 32 | 1-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -11 | -0.4 |
| D. López | 28 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6.1 |
| Anala Nelson | 28 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 0 | +2.8 |
| Lucy Hood | 24 | 2-10 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -3 | -13.9 |
| Meghan Downing | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13 | +12.6 |
| Jaidyn Harper | 23 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -5.5 |
| Kennedy Younkin | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -21.6 |
| Emmah McAmis | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -8.2 |
| Paige Lyons | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -3.2 |
| Yanessa Boyd | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.8 |
* = starter