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2025-11-18

Model Predictions

Model Navy Midshipmen North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 35.2% 64.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 23.5% 76.5% - โœ“
Margin 2.8% 97.2% +19.5 โœ“ (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 48.0% 52.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.8% 63.2% - โœ“

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +12 (73-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Navy Midshipmen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Benigni * 39 5-20 3-4 6-6 5 5 0 1 1 19 9 -2.3
Aidan Kehoe * 33 2-7 0-0 1-2 8 1 1 0 0 5 8 +5.8
Donovan Draper * 32 2-10 0-4 1-2 6 2 4 1 2 5 6 +15.8
Mike Woods * 30 3-9 1-3 2-2 2 1 2 2 1 9 6 +1.7
Jinwoo Kim * 28 5-17 2-8 2-2 6 1 1 0 1 14 4 +3.8
Cam Cole 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.1
Jordan Pennick 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -11.3
David Burnett 10 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 0 1 3 -16.6
Cooper Jackson 8 3-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 3 -8.0

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarin Stevenson * 34 4-6 1-1 2-2 8 1 0 1 2 11 13 +11.7
Luka Bogavac * 33 4-10 3-6 5-7 6 2 0 0 1 16 13 +5.5
Henri Veesaar * 31 4-9 1-2 1-2 7 2 0 2 0 10 12 +12.5
Kyan. Evans * 30 1-9 1-8 0-0 5 6 0 0 3 3 2 -2.3
Caleb Wilson * 27 9-13 0-1 5-7 12 1 4 3 3 23 27 +3.2
Jonathan Powell 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 0 1 -4.5
Derek Dixon 16 2-6 2-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 8 3 +7.3
Zayden High 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -5.4
James Brown 4 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 1 1 2 3 -2.5
Jaydon Young 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -2.1
Isaiah Denis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.2

* = starter