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2025-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Liberty Flames NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 51.8% 48.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 48.8% 51.2% - โœ“
Margin 5.1% 94.9% +16.1 โœ“ (23.9 off)
Pythagorean 44.2% 55.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.1% 60.9% - โœ“

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +40 (85-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Liberty Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach Cleveland * 33 0-2 0-0 0-2 7 5 0 1 6 0 5 -18.6
Kaden Metheny * 29 1-8 1-6 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 3 -2 -17.6
JJ Harper * 29 6-9 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 12 6 -12.4
Brett Decker Jr. * 28 4-12 3-8 1-2 2 1 0 1 3 12 1 -12.5
Colin Porter * 26 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 3 2 0 1 5 5 -8.4
Zander Carter 18 2-6 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 0 -9.3
Zander Yates 9 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 3 1 -7.8
Josh Smith 9 0-1 0-1 2-5 3 0 0 0 1 2 3 -4.8
Ryan Jones Jr. 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -0.7
Drew Grimes 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +5.1
Brady Kester 3 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -2.0
JC Shirer Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0
Torr Sorensen 2 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 +2.0
TJ Drain 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +2.0

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tre Holloman * 24 4-7 1-4 2-3 0 2 1 0 1 11 6 +15.0
Quadir Copeland * 24 4-6 1-2 2-3 7 7 1 0 1 11 19 +15.8
Dar. Williams * 19 3-9 1-3 2-2 8 3 1 1 1 9 12 +4.1
V. Lubin * 19 6-9 0-0 1-3 6 0 2 0 0 13 12 -
Paul McNeil Jr. * 17 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 6 4 +3.1
Terrance Arceneaux 23 2-4 2-3 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 8 7 +12.6
Matt Able 18 4-6 1-2 4-5 4 1 1 0 2 13 11 +17.8
Alyn Breed 18 3-6 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 1 1 6 5 +3.5
Musa Sagnia 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 2 5 +9.5
Jerry Deng 10 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 2 +0.8
Scottie Ebube 5 0-1 0-0 0-1 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 +0.9
Jordan Snell 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -1.0
Colt Langdon 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -1.0

* = starter