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2025-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Cincinnati Bearcats Spread Result
Elo 47.9% 52.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 52.7% 47.3% - โœ“
Margin 69.1% 30.9% -4.4 โœ“ (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 51.3% 48.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 50.0% 50.0% - โœ“

Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats -10 (64-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Conwell * 34 8-15 5-10 4-4 5 2 0 0 1 25 16 +2.3
Mikel Brown Jr. * 31 4-15 2-9 12-14 5 6 3 0 4 22 17 +0.7
Isaac McKneely * 26 0-4 0-3 3-3 4 1 0 0 1 3 3 +0.5
Sananda Fru * 23 4-6 0-0 3-5 4 0 2 2 3 11 10 +12.5
J'Vonne Hadley * 20 1-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 2 -4.6
Adrian Wooley 20 2-3 0-1 2-2 4 0 1 0 1 6 7 +14.9
Aly Khalifa 15 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 0 0 -5.5
Khani Rooths 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 2 7 +10.1
Kobe Rodgers 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 3 1 +7.6
Kasean Pryor 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 0 3 +3.7

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Thomas * 35 3-14 2-6 4-4 4 6 0 1 3 12 6 -8.7
Shon Abaev * 27 4-16 3-11 1-3 3 1 1 0 2 12 -1 -4.5
Moustapha Thiam * 27 5-7 0-1 0-2 9 1 1 3 1 10 16 -6.4
Baba Miller * 25 3-6 0-1 3-4 8 3 1 1 1 9 15 -0.6
Kerr Kriisa * 25 2-7 2-7 0-0 0 3 1 0 2 6 1 -9.2
Sencire Harris 20 4-7 0-0 1-1 3 1 1 1 1 9 7 -4.3
Jalen Celestine 18 1-2 1-2 1-2 1 1 0 1 2 4 3 +1.9
Tyler McKinley 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 2 8 -3.7
Keyshuan Tillery 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 +3.5

* = starter