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2025-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Ohio Bobcats Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 11.4% 88.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 11.2% 88.8% - โœ“
Margin 0.5% 99.5% +29.2 โœ“ (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 24.7% 75.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 29.0% 71.0% - โœ“

Actual: Louisville Cardinals +25 (106-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jackson Paveletzke * 37 8-14 3-4 9-10 0 4 2 0 4 28 16 -7.3
Ajay Sheldon * 35 2-5 2-3 0-1 6 3 4 0 3 6 11 -4.2
JJ Kelly * 29 4-5 2-3 1-2 5 0 0 1 0 11 12 -6.5
Javan Simmons * 29 2-8 0-2 2-4 9 2 1 0 5 6 5 -4.9
Aidan Hadaway * 26 3-10 0-6 6-6 8 2 0 0 2 12 10 -5.0
Dior Conners 19 4-10 2-6 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 10 1 -5.3
Kiir Kuany 13 2-3 0-1 2-2 0 0 1 1 1 6 4 -2.8
Ayden Evans 12 1-4 0-1 0-1 3 1 0 1 0 2 3 -3.0

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikel Brown Jr. * 28 5-11 3-6 6-8 0 7 1 0 3 19 13 +5.6
Ryan Conwell * 27 7-14 5-10 3-4 6 3 3 0 2 22 18 +6.7
Isaac McKneely * 25 5-11 4-10 1-1 6 0 0 1 2 15 9 +8.3
J'Vonne Hadley * 25 4-6 1-2 2-5 4 2 1 0 0 11 12 +7.1
Sananda Fru * 21 4-6 0-1 6-6 5 2 0 1 1 14 15 +1.5
Adrian Wooley 24 4-9 2-4 1-1 6 2 2 1 0 11 13 +3.7
Kobe Rodgers 14 3-3 0-0 1-1 5 2 1 0 2 7 10 +2.9
Khani Rooths 13 1-2 0-1 2-2 1 1 2 0 1 4 5 +0.8
Aly Khalifa 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 1 +5.2
Kasean Pryor 7 1-1 1-1 0-2 3 1 1 0 0 3 7 -0.7
Vangelis Zougris 5 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 +2.6
Will Hanke 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0
Cole Sherman 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0
Spencer Legg 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0

* = starter