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2025-11-11

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 37.1% 62.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 38.5% 61.5% - ✓
Margin 24.1% 75.9% +6.3 ✓ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 41.8% 58.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 45.8% 54.2% - ✓

Actual: Louisville Cardinals +8 (96-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Denzel Aberdeen * 31 10-20 4-10 2-3 7 3 1 0 1 26 16 +3.4
Otega Oweh * 28 4-13 1-6 3-4 5 2 2 1 5 12 4 -13.5
Collin Chandler * 25 4-7 4-6 0-0 6 2 0 0 2 12 11 -7.9
Brandon Garrison * 23 1-2 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 0 0 3 8 -1.5
Mouhamed Dioubate * 18 3-6 0-2 1-1 4 1 0 0 1 7 5 -13.8
Jaland Lowe 30 2-8 2-5 3-4 1 5 1 1 3 9 6 -1.6
Malachi Moreno 17 3-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 2 8 8 -4.1
Kam Williams 12 2-2 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 5 8 +12.0
A. Jelavić 10 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
Jasper Johnson 6 0-4 0-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3 +3.1

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikel Brown Jr. * 33 8-16 3-10 10-11 2 5 0 0 1 29 19 +2.2
Ryan Conwell * 32 6-16 4-10 8-12 1 2 2 0 0 24 13 +8.4
Isaac McKneely * 31 3-8 3-7 0-0 5 2 2 0 1 9 9 +5.3
Sananda Fru * 25 4-4 0-0 2-2 7 3 0 2 1 10 17 +11.9
Khani Rooths * 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 +2.3
J'Vonne Hadley 27 4-6 1-2 0-4 8 3 2 1 1 9 16 +9.7
Adrian Wooley 17 3-11 2-7 1-2 5 0 0 0 2 9 1 +4.8
Aly Khalifa 15 2-4 0-2 0-0 4 4 3 0 0 4 11 -2.4
Kobe Rodgers 7 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 2 4 +6.3
Kasean Pryor 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -5.0

* = starter