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2025-11-04

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 12.6% 87.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 13.6% 86.4% - โœ“
Margin 5.8% 94.2% +15.4 โœ“ (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 40.2% 59.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 43.4% 56.6% - โœ“

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +15 (75-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dailyn Swain * 36 7-18 2-5 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 16 5 -3.7
Tramon Mark * 25 1-2 0-0 0-1 3 1 0 0 2 2 2 -6.8
Matas Vokietaitis * 23 3-8 0-0 9-10 8 0 0 1 5 15 11 -12.6
Nic Codie * 23 2-7 0-2 0-2 4 0 0 1 0 4 2 -15.0
Chendall Weaver * 15 1-5 0-3 1-1 3 0 0 0 1 3 0 -9.2
Jordan Pope 30 3-10 3-4 6-7 2 2 0 0 1 15 8 +5.0
Lassina Traore 18 2-5 0-1 1-2 9 1 2 0 4 5 8 +1.4
Simeon Wilcher 15 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 -1 -9.3
Camden Heide 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -2.9
Declan Duru Jr. 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 +3.6

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cam. Boozer * 36 3-12 0-4 9-12 12 3 2 1 2 15 19 +2.2
Isaiah Evans * 33 7-13 4-8 5-6 1 1 0 0 1 23 11 +16.6
Dame Sarr * 28 2-5 2-3 2-4 6 1 3 0 0 8 13 +18.5
Caleb Foster * 26 3-6 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 7 3 +10.1
Patrick Ngongba * 24 4-7 0-2 2-3 4 2 1 1 1 10 10 +11.8
Nikolas Khamenia 18 1-2 1-2 1-2 3 2 0 0 1 4 6 -8.8
Cay. Boozer 14 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 2 0 0 0 2 6 -
Maliq Brown 13 1-3 0-1 1-1 1 1 1 0 3 3 0 -1.8
Darren Harris 8 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 3 2 -1.5

* = starter