Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern State Demons | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.0% | 98.0% | +21.5 | ✓ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Golden Bears +9 (79-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern State Demons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willie Williams | 33 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | +2.6 |
| Landyn Jumawan | 32 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | -10.0 |
| Micah Thomas | 31 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | +5.7 |
| Izzy Miles | 30 | 7-14 | 3-4 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 11 | -7.5 |
| Chris Mubiru | 20 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -8.3 |
| Justin Redmond | 17 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -2.7 |
| Omar Adegbola | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | +0.7 |
| Moustapha Loum | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +8.6 |
| Kordrick Turner | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6.0 |
| Chip Brunt | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ames | 37 | 8-20 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 4 | +12.5 |
| John Camden | 36 | 7-11 | 6-9 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 20 | +14.6 |
| S. Carr | 34 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | +8.4 |
| Lee Dort | 33 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 24 | +8.1 |
| Nolan Dorsey | 22 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | -9.2 |
| Chris Bell | 16 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -5 | -7.5 |
| DJ Campbell | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +2.2 |
| Milos Ilic | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -9.9 |
* = starter