Model Predictions
| Model | Pacific Tigers | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.1% | 84.9% | +9.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Golden Bears +6 (67-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Jack | 38 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 24 | -2.6 |
| Jaden Clayton | 35 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | +0.4 |
| Elias Ralph | 34 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -3 | -4.2 |
| Justin Rochelin | 33 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | -3.6 |
| TJ Wainwright | 28 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | -5.3 |
| Kajus Kublickas | 18 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -3.5 |
| Jaion Pitt | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Alexis Marmolejos | 6 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -2.0 |
| KC Ibekwe | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -2.0 |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Camden | 32 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | +8.8 |
| D. Ames | 31 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | +11.9 |
| Justin Pippen | 30 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | +9.7 |
| Lee Dort | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | +7.3 |
| DJ Campbell | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +7.8 |
| Chris Bell | 22 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | -3.9 |
| Milos Ilic | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -2.1 |
| S. Carr | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -3.9 |
| Nolan Dorsey | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -6.0 |
* = starter