Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.5% | 97.5% | +20.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Golden Bears +24 (91-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Lavrenov * | 40 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | -0.9 |
| Prophet Johnson * | 36 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 10 | -1.3 |
| Mikey Williams * | 33 | 2-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Shaqir O'Neal * | 16 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | -2.7 |
| Jahni Summers * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2.5 |
| Brandon Gardner | 22 | 6-12 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | +1.7 |
| Jayden Teat | 12 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | +0.8 |
| Arman Madi | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +0.6 |
| Taj Glover | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +0.5 |
| Romari Robinson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.2 |
| Isaiah Bronson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ames * | 31 | 7-14 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | +1.6 |
| Chris Bell * | 28 | 7-11 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | +1.7 |
| John Camden * | 28 | 5-12 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 14 | +2.1 |
| Justin Pippen * | 28 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 16 | +1.7 |
| Lee Dort * | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +2.7 |
| Rytis Petraitis | 20 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -1.2 |
| Milos Ilic | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -1.5 |
| S. Carr | 18 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -1.2 |
| Dhiaukuei Manyiel Dut | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -0.3 |
| Mantas Kocanas | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | -0.3 |
| BJ Fisher | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Luke Butler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Stephon Marbury II | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
* = starter