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2025-11-13

Model Predictions

Model California Golden Bears Kansas State Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 49.4% 50.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 46.5% 53.5% - โœ“
Margin 49.0% 51.0% +0.2 โœ“ (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 59.5% 40.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 49.3% 50.7% - โœ“

Actual: Kansas State Wildcats +3 (99-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

California Golden Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Camden * 32 2-5 1-3 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 5 7 +1.0
D. Ames * 32 9-13 5-6 2-2 1 7 5 0 3 25 22 +4.7
Chris Bell * 29 9-13 7-9 2-2 0 1 0 1 2 27 14 -3.8
Justin Pippen * 27 4-10 1-4 5-6 2 4 2 1 4 14 9 -16.9
Lee Dort * 19 5-8 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 10 3 -9.3
S. Carr 16 2-5 0-2 2-3 6 5 0 0 0 6 12 +9.1
Nolan Dorsey 16 2-5 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 5 3 -7.7
Dhiaukuei Manyiel Dut 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 3 1 2 7 +16.2
Rytis Petraitis 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -4.0
Milos Ilic 7 1-2 0-0 0-1 1 0 2 0 1 2 2 -9.3
Mantas Kocanas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.0

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P.J. Haggerty * 34 7-12 1-1 8-12 3 6 1 0 7 23 14 +6.4
Nate Johnson * 29 9-11 2-3 0-2 3 2 2 0 4 20 12 +6.8
Elias Rapieque * 23 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 0 2 -9.3
Abdi Bashir Jr. * 23 2-4 2-4 1-2 2 5 1 0 1 7 10 +9.2
K. McGriff * 20 8-11 0-1 5-5 2 0 2 0 0 21 14 +7.6
David Castillo 23 6-9 4-6 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 16 12 +3.3
Mobi Ikegwuruka 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -2.0
Dorin Buca 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 4 2 2 7 +12.0
CJ Jones 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 3 -11.3
Andrej Kostic 9 2-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 4 2 +6.4

* = starter