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2025-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Colgate Raiders St. Bonaventure Bonnies Spread Result
Elo 43.0% 57.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 38.5% 61.5% - โœ“
Margin 12.1% 87.9% +10.9 โœ“ (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 43.6% 56.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.9% 61.1% - โœ“

Actual: St. Bonaventure Bonnies +8 (85-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Cox * 36 11-20 0-1 4-6 6 7 4 0 4 26 19 -10.7
Ben Tweedy * 35 2-4 1-2 0-2 3 3 1 0 2 5 6 -5.0
Andrew Alekseyenko * 33 10-16 3-7 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 25 14 -15.4
S. Wright * 23 1-9 0-4 4-9 9 1 0 0 0 6 7 -11.2
J. Ahayere * 19 2-5 1-1 0-0 3 2 1 1 0 5 7 -2.2
K. Carlesimo 29 2-10 0-6 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 -4 +0.8
Ayomi Odetoyinbo 17 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 2 0 6 11 +4.6
C. Wright 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 3 +7.1
Ethan Brown 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cayden Charles * 39 9-15 0-2 2-5 10 3 3 1 1 20 21 +10.8
Darryl Simmons II * 38 5-14 3-9 4-4 2 2 0 0 4 17 3 +12.6
Frank Mitchell * 37 8-14 0-0 3-4 18 3 0 0 2 19 24 +12.7
Dasonte Bowen * 34 4-9 0-2 7-7 6 9 0 0 1 15 20 +13.7
Joseph Grahovac * 28 4-7 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 9 6 +15.2
Daniel Egbuniwe 13 1-3 0-2 3-3 0 0 0 1 1 5 2 -12.5
Ilia Ermakov 6 0-1 0-0 0-1 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 -7.1
Andrew Osasuyi 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -6.0
Achille Lonati 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -6.1

* = starter