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2025-11-12

Model Predictions

Model Siena Saints St. Bonaventure Bonnies Spread Result
Elo 65.4% 34.6% -
Bradley-Terry 47.9% 52.1% -
Margin 22.3% 77.7% +6.9 (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 53.4% 46.6% -
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.2% 72.8% -
Log Adjusted 26.8% 73.2% -
Points Off/Def 32.9% 67.1% -

Actual: St. Bonaventure Bonnies +9 (75-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Siena Saints

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Doty * 36 8-17 1-3 8-10 8 4 0 0 1 25 19 -10.0
T. Goodrick * 35 2-9 0-0 0-0 12 2 0 1 2 4 8 -7.6
B. Coyle * 32 4-8 4-7 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 14 9 -15.8
J. Shoats * 32 2-6 0-1 4-4 1 2 1 0 2 8 4 -8.9
A. Chandler * 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 4 3 -6.1
F. Folefac 27 2-6 0-1 2-4 2 2 3 0 4 6 3 -8.4
O. Schlager 12 1-3 1-3 2-4 2 0 1 0 2 5 3 -4.2
C. Jones 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
R. Mulvey 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.0

St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Mitchell * 36 6-13 0-0 1-2 10 2 2 2 3 13 13 +10.0
D. Bowen * 35 4-11 0-1 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 8 1 +14.0
D. Simmons II * 30 9-13 2-2 4-4 1 1 1 0 1 24 13 +13.6
C. Charles * 29 5-7 0-0 5-9 9 1 1 1 2 15 18 +5.8
J. Grahovac * 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 4 0 2 8 +8.8
A. Marshall 19 3-5 1-3 0-0 1 5 1 0 1 7 8 +5.3
A. Osasuyi 18 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 1 1 6 8 +12.5
A. Lonati 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -3 -0.8
X. Wedlow 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -3.9

* = starter