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2025-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Richmond Spiders Elon Phoenix Spread Result
Elo 39.8% 60.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 49.9% 50.1% - โœ“
Margin 73.3% 26.7% -5.6 โœ— (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 61.2% 38.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 56.4% 43.6% - โœ—

Actual: Elon Phoenix +3 (73-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Richmond Spiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Will Johnston 29 3-9 3-8 0-0 2 4 0 0 4 9 2 -5.7
Aiden Argabright 26 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 -1 +3.0
Apostolos Roumoglou 24 5-8 2-5 0-0 5 4 3 0 1 12 15 +5.6
A.J. Lopez 22 5-8 1-2 4-4 2 3 0 2 2 15 12 -7.5
Mike Walz 22 3-4 1-2 0-0 8 2 0 0 1 7 12 -8.4
Jaden Daughtry 21 2-6 2-4 4-4 2 0 1 0 2 10 5 +8.0
Jonathan Beagle 18 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 3 0 0 3 6 6 +6.2
Collin Tanner 15 2-4 2-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 6 2 -5.7
Mikkel Tyne 15 1-5 1-4 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 -1 -3.8
David Thomas 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 -1.0
Jaylen Robinson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -2.0

Elon Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kacper Klaczek 31 4-6 3-3 5-5 6 3 3 0 1 16 21 +1.1
Isaac Harrell 27 4-8 3-5 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 11 9 +14.0
Randall Pettus II 27 1-5 1-4 4-4 2 0 2 1 3 7 4 -4.4
Chandler Cuthrell 27 4-11 0-3 1-2 2 2 1 0 2 9 1 +6.9
Bryson Cokley 26 3-6 1-2 1-2 5 1 1 0 3 8 6 -8.7
Ja'Juan Carr 23 6-12 1-5 0-2 5 2 0 1 2 13 7 +1.7
DeMarco Johnson 17 3-5 0-1 0-1 0 0 2 0 1 6 2 +0.9
Ned Hull 15 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 4 +9.9
Bryson Spell 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -8.0

* = starter