Model Predictions
| Model | VMI Keydets | Richmond Spiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.0% | 99.0% | +25.2 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Richmond Spiders +33 (87-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VMI Keydets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Johnson * | 30 | 1-11 | 0-9 | 2-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -1 | -10.3 |
| Cal Liston * | 28 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -7.1 |
| Tan Yildizoglu * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | -10.3 |
| Linus Holmstrom * | 23 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | -8.9 |
| AJ Clark * | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | -10.2 |
| Mario Tatum Jr. | 27 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Jaylen Pazon | 19 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Kaden Stuckey | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -0.7 |
| Mason Hagedorn | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Branford Edmonds III | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1.1 |
Richmond Spiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Lopez * | 18 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +6.7 |
| Mike Walz * | 17 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 16 | +10.6 |
| Will Johnston * | 15 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +10.5 |
| Collin Tanner * | 15 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | +13.3 |
| Mikkel Tyne * | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +9.5 |
| Aiden Argabright | 24 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | -1.5 |
| Apostolos Roumoglou | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | -2.2 |
| David Thomas | 16 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | +0.5 |
| Jaden Daughtry | 14 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | -0.5 |
| Jaylen Robinson | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.5 |
| Jonathan Beagle | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | -0.5 |
| Will Harper III | 12 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Bryson McGlothin | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Kirby Mooney | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1.1 |
* = starter