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2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Ball State Cardinals Miami (OH) RedHawks Spread Result
Elo 39.8% 60.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 45.7% 54.3% - โœ“
Margin 44.6% 55.4% +1.2 โœ“ (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 48.8% 51.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 47.1% 52.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 47.4% 52.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 45.9% 54.1% - โœ“

Actual: Miami (OH) RedHawks +4 (68-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ball State Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Grace Kingery 40 8-12 2-6 1-2 7 1 4 1 2 19 18 -
Bree Salenbien 38 3-14 1-4 3-4 7 7 4 2 5 10 11 -
Karsyn Norman 36 1-7 1-4 0-0 7 4 2 0 7 3 2 -
Aniss Tagayi 31 4-10 0-0 2-4 8 4 3 2 1 10 16 -
Tessa Towers 30 10-16 0-0 2-2 8 3 0 0 4 22 13 -
Zhen Verburgt 12 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 -2 -
Alba Caballero 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 2 -
Giorgia Gorini 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Miami (OH) RedHawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. de Vries 39 6-11 2-4 0-0 9 1 2 2 1 14 16 -
T. Singer 37 9-17 5-9 2-3 3 3 8 0 7 25 15 -
N. Jurjo 33 3-11 2-5 0-0 7 3 1 0 6 8 2 -
A. Scalia 33 5-14 1-7 2-3 1 0 1 0 3 13 -2 -
A. Tretter 31 0-3 0-0 0-2 7 0 0 1 1 0 4 -
C. Gonzalez Planella 12 2-4 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 5 4 -
Macie Taylor 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 3 4 -
M. Sakano 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Elley 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
E. VanTimmeren 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter