Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Buffalo Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 94.7% | 5.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 95.4% | 4.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 98.3% | 1.7% | -22.3 | ✓ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.5% | 3.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.5% | 3.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Buffalo Bulls -33 (55-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Kingery | 33 | 4-10 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Karsyn Norman | 30 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Bree Salenbien | 29 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Tessa Towers | 23 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Aniss Tagayi | 21 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Alba Caballero | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Zuri Ransom | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Zhen Verburgt | 13 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Giorgia Gorini | 10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Brooke Winchester | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ashlynn Brooke | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| V. Rojas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Laura Martinez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paula Lopez | 36 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Aniya Rowe | 36 | 6-16 | 2-8 | 4-5 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Meg Lucas | 35 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Ella Corry | 28 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Diann Jackson | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Amber Howard | 14 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Gabby McDuffie | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Anaya Coleman | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| L. Field | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter