Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Central Michigan Chippewas | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.0% | 33.0% | -3.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Central Michigan Chippewas -6 (70-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Kingery | 38 | 3-12 | 3-9 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | +7.2 |
| Karsyn Norman | 35 | 3-12 | 3-6 | 8-12 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 10 | +8.3 |
| Bree Salenbien | 31 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 21 | +10.5 |
| Zhen Verburgt | 29 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | +4.7 |
| Tessa Towers | 27 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | +11.4 |
| Aniss Tagayi | 24 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 6-12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +4.0 |
| Alba Caballero | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -4.7 |
| Giorgia Gorini | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
| Zuri Ransom | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2.0 |
| Ashlynn Brooke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
Central Michigan Chippewas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Darrington | 34 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 19 | -6.5 |
| Zareia Chevre | 31 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -6.6 |
| Madi Morson | 29 | 9-20 | 4-6 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 14 | +4.6 |
| Lilah Turnbull | 27 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | -4.1 |
| Jayda Mosley | 21 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | -5.9 |
| Nekhu Mitchell | 21 | 1-12 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | -5.3 |
| Taylor Anderson | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3.7 |
| Rylan Buschell | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Demetria Prewitt | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +2.4 |
| Taylor Johnson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
* = starter