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2025-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Ball State Cardinals Akron Zips Spread Result
Elo 90.7% 9.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 91.6% 8.4% - โœ“
Margin 97.2% 2.8% -19.5 โœ“ (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 84.8% 15.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 95.9% 4.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 96.0% 4.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 96.0% 4.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 84.0% 16.0% - โœ“

Actual: Akron Zips -29 (73-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ball State Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Karsyn Norman 26 5-11 1-3 0-0 5 4 0 0 2 11 7 -28.8
Grace Kingery 26 4-9 2-6 1-2 1 0 2 0 0 11 5 -31.7
Tessa Towers 23 11-16 0-0 0-0 13 1 1 1 2 22 20 -16.9
Zhen Verburgt 21 3-3 3-3 2-2 3 3 0 0 2 11 12 -18.3
Zuri Ransom 17 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1.7
Bree Salenbien 17 4-10 3-5 3-4 6 3 2 0 0 14 15 -26.0
Aniss Tagayi 16 2-3 0-1 4-7 5 1 1 0 1 8 11 -30.9
Giorgia Gorini 14 3-3 0-0 3-5 0 2 2 0 1 9 9 -3.1
Alba Caballero 12 0-2 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 0 1 4 -23.2
V. Rojas 12 2-6 0-0 6-8 1 0 0 0 0 10 5 +8.7
Ashlynn Brooke 8 0-2 0-1 4-4 1 1 0 0 0 4 4 -9.7
Laura Martinez 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +7.4
Brooke Winchester 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 0 3 -4.0

Akron Zips

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shaena Brew 27 5-10 2-5 0-0 4 5 0 0 6 12 5 +27.2
Ni'Rah Clark 23 4-6 0-0 1-3 5 0 0 0 2 9 6 +28.0
Keiryn McGuff 23 2-7 0-2 1-1 5 2 0 0 2 5 3 +8.5
Corinne Reed 22 3-6 1-1 0-0 3 1 1 1 1 7 6 +18.2
Monique Mitchell 21 5-10 2-4 3-5 4 2 0 1 0 15 12 +35.7
Izzy Callaway 17 0-5 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 0 -5 +13.4
Natalie Johnson 14 3-5 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 8 5 -0.7
Liisa Taponen 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 4 4 +25.4
Maddie Vejsicky 12 2-8 1-5 1-1 1 0 0 0 1 6 -2 +22.4
Ella Wigal 10 0-4 0-1 1-2 6 0 0 0 0 1 3 -4.9
Kam'Ren Rhodes 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 +17.1
Liz Murphy 8 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -8.9

* = starter