Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Akron Zips | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.2% | 7.8% | -27.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 90.9% | 9.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 97.2% | 2.8% | -19.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Akron Zips -29 (73-102). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Kingery * | 26 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | +8.7 |
| Karsyn Norman * | 26 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +8.3 |
| Tessa Towers * | 23 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 20 | +11.6 |
| Zhen Verburgt * | 21 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | +1.0 |
| Bree Salenbien * | 17 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | -2.0 |
| Zuri Ransom | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Aniss Tagayi | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | +10.0 |
| Giorgia Gorini | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +1.6 |
| Alba Caballero | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | +1.8 |
| Violeta Rojas | 12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | -2.5 |
| Ashlynn Brooke | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +4.1 |
| Laura Martinez | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.3 |
| Brooke Winchester | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +3.3 |
Akron Zips
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaena Brew * | 27 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 5 | -3.5 |
| Ni'Rah Clark * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | -6.8 |
| Keiryn McGuff * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -4.9 |
| Corinne Reed * | 22 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -1.9 |
| Monique Mitchell * | 21 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 12 | -9.8 |
| Izzy Callaway | 17 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | +0.1 |
| Natalie Johnson | 14 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -0.8 |
| Liisa Taponen | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2.7 |
| Maddie Vejsicky | 12 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | -8.6 |
| Ella Wigal | 10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4.3 |
| Kam'Ren Rhodes | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -4.4 |
| Liz Murphy | 8 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -2.6 |
* = starter