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2025-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Eastern Michigan Eagles Ball State Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 7.6% 92.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 14.1% 85.9% - โœ“
Margin 6.1% 93.9% +15.0 โœ“ (11.0 off)
Pythagorean 29.7% 70.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 4.8% 95.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 4.0% 96.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 4.0% 96.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 20.1% 79.9% - โœ“

Actual: Ball State Cardinals +4 (78-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Eastern Michigan Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brooklyn Thrash 37 2-5 2-4 0-0 4 2 3 2 0 6 12 +7.4
Fernanda Ovalle 36 9-18 3-9 1-3 4 5 0 0 3 22 10 -3.8
Sisi Eleko 35 9-12 2-4 0-2 4 0 3 0 3 20 12 +8.8
Peyton Hill 35 5-13 2-4 3-3 2 4 1 0 3 15 6 +18.3
Ainhoa Cea 34 3-5 2-2 0-0 3 5 0 0 6 8 5 -4.0
P. Balada 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 0 1 -
Alli Zajac 6 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -10.2
Believe Tshibangu 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -4.0
Oliwia Pelka 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -2.9

Ball State Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Karsyn Norman 36 2-7 1-3 2-4 4 8 2 0 1 7 13 +4.7
Grace Kingery 30 7-9 5-6 2-2 2 1 1 0 2 21 14 -6.3
Tessa Towers 27 7-10 0-0 7-8 4 2 0 0 7 21 10 +2.2
Aniss Tagayi 23 2-7 0-3 0-0 7 1 0 0 4 4 1 +5.8
Ashlynn Brooke 17 1-4 1-3 0-1 1 0 0 0 1 3 -1 +2.7
Bree Salenbien 17 2-4 0-1 1-1 2 1 2 0 2 5 4 -6.2
Zhen Verburgt 17 3-7 2-2 1-2 3 0 0 0 3 9 2 -2.4
Brooke Winchester 12 0-0 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 0 1 6 +10.6
Zuri Ransom 11 2-3 2-2 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 7 6 +8.1
Alba Caballero 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 0 5 +0.8
Giorgia Gorini 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +3.0

* = starter