Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio Bobcats | Massachusetts Minutemen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.6% | 69.4% | +4.6 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.6% | 72.4% | +5.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Massachusetts Minutemen +12 (94-82). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Ohio Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hadaway * | 38 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -7.6 |
| Jackson Paveletzke * | 36 | 7-17 | 1-5 | 9-11 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 15 | -12.1 |
| Ajay Sheldon * | 33 | 2-11 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Javan Simmons * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 16 | -1.8 |
| Kiir Kuany * | 27 | 6-9 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | -16.8 |
| Dior Conners | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +2.1 |
| Jalen Breath | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -9.7 |
| Jesse Burris | 9 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -10.7 |
Massachusetts Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Banks Jr. * | 34 | 8-15 | 6-12 | 9-9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 20 | +13.5 |
| Jayden Ndjigue * | 33 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | +16.1 |
| Danny Carbuccia * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | +1.1 |
| Dwayne Wimbley Jr. * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +6.9 |
| Leonardo Bettiol * | 23 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 9 | -0.9 |
| Isaiah Placide | 23 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.1 |
| K'Jei Parker | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2.7 |
| Luka Damjanac | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +10.4 |
| CJ Outlaw | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +3.5 |
* = starter