Model Predictions
| Model | Akron Zips | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.5% | 6.5% | -14.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals -13 (65-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Akron Zips
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amani Lyles | 34 | 9-16 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Tavari Johnson | 34 | 9-20 | 2-8 | 5-5 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 16 | - |
| E. Mahaffey | 26 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Evan Mahaffey | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Shammah Scott | 23 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Bowen Hardman | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Zach Halligan | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Sharron Young | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Marvin Musiime-Kamali | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Halil Barre | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armoni Zeigler | 37 | 4-15 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | - |
| D. Hill | 32 | 6-12 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Preston Copeland | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Mason Jones | 29 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Devon Barnes | 23 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Elmore James | 20 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Cam Denson | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Kayden Fish | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Juwan Maxey | 8 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter