Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Bowling Green Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.9% | 64.1% | +3.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bowling Green Falcons +10 (80-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson | 39 | 8-14 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Leroy Blyden Jr. | 36 | 5-16 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Sean Craig | 29 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Austin Parks | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Will James Jr. | 22 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Kyler VanderJagt | 19 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Mynor Strong | 17 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jaylan Ouwinga | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javontae Campbell | 39 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Sam Towns | 38 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Justin Thomas | 29 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Josiah Shackelford | 24 | 5-16 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Mayar Wol | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Troy Glover II | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Javon Ruffin | 15 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Aiden Goins | 10 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
* = starter