Model Predictions
| Model | Buffalo Bulls | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.1% | 36.9% | -3.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals -10 (53-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Talton Jr. | 38 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Sabol | 38 | 4-14 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Noah Batchelor | 37 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Tim Oboh | 29 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Angelo Brizzi | 28 | 4-12 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| K. Jones | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Ezra Mckenna | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Matas Buteliauskas | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Jones | 32 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Armoni Zeigler | 30 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| D. Hill | 29 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1 | - |
| Kayden Fish | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Juwan Maxey | 25 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Elmore James | 19 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Devon Barnes | 17 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Preston Copeland | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Cam Denson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter