Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio Bobcats | Buffalo Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.3% | 65.7% | +3.3 | ✗ (15.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.4% | 67.6% | +4.0 | ✗ (16.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Buffalo Bulls -12 (83-95). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Ohio Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JJ Kelly * | 37 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 7 | +7.0 |
| Jackson Paveletzke * | 36 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 10-11 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 21 | +2.5 |
| Javan Simmons * | 34 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 23 | +16.4 |
| Ajay Sheldon * | 34 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +20.9 |
| Aidan Hadaway * | 29 | 9-11 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 21 | +11.8 |
| Kiir Kuany | 11 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -1.5 |
| Jesse Burris | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -0.1 |
| Jalen Breath | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -5.6 |
| Dior Conners | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +5.2 |
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sabol * | 38 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 16 | -7.4 |
| Angelo Brizzi * | 36 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | -9.1 |
| Daniel Freitag * | 31 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 11-14 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 16 | -8.3 |
| Noah Batchelor * | 24 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8.4 |
| Tim Oboh * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -4.6 |
| Derrick Talton Jr. | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -8.3 |
| Ezra McKenna | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -11.5 |
| Mikhali Pocknett | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Kyle Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
* = starter