Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.3% | 91.7% | +13.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +18 (73-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armoni Zeigler | 36 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 9-12 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 11 | -2.4 |
| Devon Barnes | 25 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | -5.5 |
| Elmore James | 24 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -6.5 |
| Cam Denson | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.3 |
| D. Hill | 23 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Mason Jones | 18 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -9.6 |
| Preston Copeland | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -15.6 |
| Kayden Fish | 15 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +2.3 |
| Juwan Maxey | 11 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -2.7 |
| J. Bearden | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +6.1 |
| Kody Clancy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leroy Blyden Jr. | 35 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 10 | +8.5 |
| Sonny Wilson | 34 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | +8.3 |
| Austin Parks | 29 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 10 | +5.3 |
| Sean Craig | 29 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 19 | +8.6 |
| Mynor Strong | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +19.6 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga | 19 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | +2.7 |
| Kyler VanderJagt | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | -11.1 |
| Will James Jr. | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| London Praytor | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Toby Nwokolo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Ode | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter