Model Predictions
| Model | Buffalo Bulls | Bowling Green Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.6% | 74.4% | +5.9 | ✗ (16.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Bowling Green Falcons -11 (78-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Sabol | 37 | 7-13 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | +8.5 |
| A. Brizzi | 31 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | +6.0 |
| N. Batchelor | 30 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +24.8 |
| D. Freitag | 29 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | +11.4 |
| D. Talton Jr. | 24 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | +11.9 |
| T. Oboh | 23 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 14 | +19.9 |
| E. McKenna | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -9.5 |
| M. Pocknett | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -0.4 |
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Campbell | 40 | 13-20 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 19 | -14.4 |
| S. Towns | 34 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 6 | -13.6 |
| T. Glover II | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 17 | -20.8 |
| J. Ruffin | 25 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -7.4 |
| M. Wol | 24 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -4.6 |
| J. Shackelford | 24 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | -7.3 |
| J. Thomas | 24 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -3.6 |
| C. Karel | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
* = starter