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2026-01-13

Model Predictions

Model Ohio Bobcats Toledo Rockets Spread Result
Elo 17.0% 83.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 22.1% 77.9% - โœ“
Margin 16.3% 83.7% +9.0 โœ“ (7.0 off)
Pythagorean 33.0% 67.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 40.0% 60.0% - โœ“

Actual: Toledo Rockets +16 (101-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jackson Paveletzke 36 8-17 1-4 3-4 3 6 1 0 1 20 12 -16.4
Ajay Sheldon 34 2-8 2-7 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 6 4 -14.9
Javan Simmons 30 8-13 0-1 5-9 6 1 1 1 2 21 15 -11.5
Aidan Hadaway 27 6-11 3-5 1-2 4 0 0 1 4 16 6 -7.5
JJ Kelly 27 3-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 3 -10.2
Jesse Burris 14 3-6 2-4 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 10 4 -7.7
Kiir Kuany 12 1-1 1-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 4 -6.6
Jalen Breath 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -4.9
Dior Conners 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 0 2 -0.9

Toledo Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sonny Wilson 37 9-14 1-3 6-6 2 4 1 0 2 25 16 +16.5
Sean Craig 35 7-12 0-2 1-2 10 3 0 0 1 15 15 +16.1
Leroy Blyden Jr. 35 8-12 4-6 4-4 5 5 3 0 2 24 23 +14.8
Kyler VanderJagt 29 4-8 1-3 0-0 1 5 2 0 1 9 8 +9.6
Jaylan Ouwinga 23 2-5 1-2 0-0 6 0 2 0 1 5 7 +14.5
Austin Parks 18 5-6 0-0 3-3 5 2 0 0 1 13 13 +0.5
Mynor Strong 13 2-4 0-1 2-2 1 2 1 0 1 6 5 +8.7
Will James Jr. 4 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Tyler Ode 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.0
Phoenix Glassnor 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Toby Nwokolo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
London Praytor 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter