Model Predictions
| Model | Kent State Golden Flashes | Buffalo Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.4% | 49.6% | -0.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Buffalo Bulls -6 (81-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kent State Golden Flashes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Gillespie | 40 | 9-12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 30 | +8.3 |
| R. Whaley Jr. | 33 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | +5.1 |
| M. Safford | 32 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | +3.9 |
| C. Medley | 32 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | +0.9 |
| Q. Woidke | 29 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | +17.0 |
| R. Griffith | 19 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +7.3 |
| J. Williamson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5.7 |
| B. Moss | 3 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | -0.9 |
| M. Entenmann | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.1 |
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Freitag | 38 | 11-26 | 6-13 | 5-8 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 19 | -5.7 |
| R. Sabol | 36 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | -7.9 |
| A. Brizzi | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | +2.0 |
| T. Oboh | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 12 | +3.4 |
| N. Batchelor | 24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +3.1 |
| M. Pocknett | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -14.7 |
| D. Talton Jr. | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2.4 |
| E. McKenna | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -13.3 |
* = starter