Model Predictions
| Model | Western Michigan Broncos | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.5% | 90.5% | +12.4 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +5 (84-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Western Michigan Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EJ Ryans | 31 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | -9.7 |
| Justice Williams | 30 | 8-23 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | -1 | -13.0 |
| Max Burton | 27 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -7.5 |
| Trey Lewis | 27 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | -8.9 |
| Jayden Brewer | 23 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -13.7 |
| Jalen Griffith | 19 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | -9.8 |
| Sharod Barnes | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -5.5 |
| Brady Swartz | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -7.2 |
| Declan Peterson | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8.3 |
| Carson Vis | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.2 |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson | 38 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 8-13 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 19 | +15.5 |
| Kyler VanderJagt | 35 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +15.8 |
| Leroy Blyden Jr. | 34 | 12-23 | 3-10 | 9-11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 36 | 19 | +20.9 |
| Sean Craig | 30 | 6-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | +12.2 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.8 |
| Austin Parks | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -0.0 |
| Will James Jr. | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Mynor Strong | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +13.8 |
| London Praytor | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -1.2 |
* = starter