Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio Bobcats | Central Michigan Chippewas | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.2% | 58.8% | +1.1 | ✗ (17.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.2% | 46.8% | -0.7 | ✓ (15.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Central Michigan Chippewas -16 (64-80). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Ohio Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Paveletzke * | 37 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 9-13 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 25 | +7.7 |
| JJ Kelly * | 34 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | +13.9 |
| Aidan Hadaway * | 33 | 6-14 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 15 | +16.7 |
| Ajay Sheldon * | 28 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +11.3 |
| Javan Simmons * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | +5.1 |
| Jalen Breath | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +1.5 |
| Elijah Elliott | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -5.9 |
| Kiir Kuany | 7 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -9.9 |
| Dior Conners | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2.9 |
Central Michigan Chippewas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamario Adley * | 33 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 9 | +7.6 |
| Nathan Claerbaut * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16 | +4.1 |
| P. Brooks * | 29 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | -7.3 |
| Nick Mullen * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -18.1 |
| Jaxson Whitaker * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -11.7 |
| Keenan Garner | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -10.2 |
| Will Ashford | 22 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -8.8 |
| Logan McIntire | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4.0 |
* = starter