๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2025-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Morgan State Lady Bears Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers Spread Result
Elo 18.8% 81.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 20.0% 80.0% - โœ“
Margin 11.3% 88.7% +11.3 โœ“ (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 4.1% 95.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 5.0% 95.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 4.8% 95.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 24.3% 75.7% - โœ“

Actual: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +22 (69-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morgan State Lady Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Success Prysock 33 1-5 0-0 3-6 11 0 0 0 3 5 8 -
Mihjae Hayes 30 6-9 0-0 2-2 7 0 3 0 2 14 13 -
Selina Gutierrez 25 3-11 2-6 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 9 1 -
Tiyanna James 25 1-10 0-6 1-2 0 2 1 0 1 3 -5 -
Kimora Daly 22 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
Dakota Alston 19 1-5 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -3 -
Michaela Bogans 16 2-8 0-2 1-3 1 1 2 0 1 5 0 -
Sierra Headquist 15 0-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
Maya Woodson 15 1-5 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 4 1 -

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gabrielle Kennerly 23 4-8 2-4 2-2 2 0 2 2 2 12 8 -
Giana Hoddinott 23 1-4 1-2 1-2 4 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
Amber Bullard 20 1-7 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 1 2 3 3 -
Alana Powell 19 3-5 0-1 1-2 4 1 3 0 0 7 10 -
Kayla Lindsey 18 1-2 0-0 3-4 7 3 0 0 2 5 11 -
Jaedyn Jamison 18 2-4 1-2 3-4 6 1 1 0 2 8 10 -
Nyodie Guerard 16 0-6 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Mikaela Parris 14 3-5 0-2 3-3 2 3 1 0 1 9 9 -
Teodora Ivanovic 13 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
Wesleigh Ferguson 12 0-4 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 3 1 -3 -
Erin Edmonds 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 0 1 -
Deniz Torgut 9 3-5 3-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 9 4 -
Berlynn Carlson 6 2-5 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 0 2 5 4 -

* = starter