Model Predictions
| Model | Stony Brook Seawolves | Marist Red Foxes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.7% | 29.3% | -13.3 | ✗ (17.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.0% | 31.0% | -4.4 | ✗ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Marist Red Foxes +4 (55-51). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Stony Brook Seawolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandra Frau Garcia * | 35 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -9.9 |
| Janay Brantley * | 34 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 0 | +0.3 |
| Caitlin Frost * | 26 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | -10.2 |
| Chloe Oliver * | 23 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -5.7 |
| Melissa Mwanza * | 18 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -12.6 |
| Diaka Berete | 30 | 6-17 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14 | +1.3 |
| Johanna Potter | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | +6.1 |
| Nal'La Bennett | 12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +5.2 |
Marist Red Foxes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danielle Williamsen * | 38 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | +5.8 |
| Lexie Tarul * | 35 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +7.9 |
| Karly Fischer * | 34 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 4 | +6.4 |
| Jackie Piddock * | 33 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | +1.8 |
| Justine Henry * | 33 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 4 | +5.3 |
| Malea Egan | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +2.2 |
| Elle Bruschuk | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6.0 |
| Julia Corsentino | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -5.1 |
* = starter