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2026-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Merrimack Warriors Sacred Heart Pioneers Spread Result
Elo 68.9% 31.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 66.2% 33.8% - โœ“
Margin 69.1% 30.9% -4.4 โœ“ (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 65.4% 34.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 79.1% 20.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 82.9% 17.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 83.4% 16.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 58.2% 41.8% - โœ“

Actual: Sacred Heart Pioneers -5 (57-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Merrimack Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Roman 40 8-14 0-3 6-10 9 3 6 0 6 22 20 -
L. Melaschenko 40 1-9 1-6 2-2 2 3 0 0 2 5 -1 -
S. Reddick 35 3-8 1-2 1-2 2 3 0 0 2 8 3 -
P. Garcia 24 2-6 0-1 6-6 5 5 3 0 3 10 14 -
Oralye Kiefer 22 3-9 2-5 0-0 7 0 0 1 2 8 5 -
M. Manion 20 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
D. Shishkina 11 1-2 1-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 5 6 -
J. Williams 6 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
K. Kelley 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Sacred Heart Pioneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Kirby 37 7-8 0-0 4-6 8 3 2 0 4 18 19 -
A. Wood 37 0-3 0-3 2-3 5 0 1 1 2 2 4 -
M. Nuku 32 3-10 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 5 6 -4 -
F. Pappas 24 5-9 1-3 3-4 2 1 3 0 0 14 11 -
S. Johnson 23 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 4 3 1 2 2 7 -
N. Dudley 22 5-10 3-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 13 4 -
S. Nascimento 16 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 6 2 -4 -
J. Schrecker 9 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter