Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Ohio Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.9% | 36.1% | -3.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ohio Bobcats -10 (58-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Towns | 39 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | +6.0 |
| J. Campbell | 37 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 11-11 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 20 | +12.5 |
| J. Thomas | 34 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | +1.7 |
| J. Ruffin | 26 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -2.1 |
| T. Glover II | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -7.3 |
| M. Leach | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +16.9 |
| J. Shackelford | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -5.1 |
| C. Karel | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | +5.9 |
| A. Goins | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -2.1 |
| M. Wol | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +1.8 |
| P. Squire | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.0 |
Ohio Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Paveletzke | 38 | 7-10 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | -5.4 |
| A. Hadaway | 36 | 2-11 | 0-8 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | -7.3 |
| A. Sheldon | 30 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | +3.4 |
| J. Kelly | 25 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -4.5 |
| J. Simmons | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | -1.8 |
| J. Breath | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -1.5 |
| E. Elliott | 19 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -7.4 |
| D. Conners | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -2 | -7.8 |
| K. Kuany | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +1.1 |
* = starter