Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Peter's Peacocks | Merrimack Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.5% | 94.5% | +20.0 | ✓ (12.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.4% | 95.6% | +16.9 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Merrimack Warriors +8 (67-59). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Saint Peter's Peacocks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Zdenkova * | 37 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | -1.2 |
| Louella Allana * | 37 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 15 | +10.7 |
| De'Naya Rippey * | 26 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | +3.7 |
| Eszter Turi * | 25 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -10.8 |
| Reilly Sunday * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +6.0 |
| Jayshlynn Vega | 23 | 1-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | +6.3 |
| Layla Laws | 16 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | +5.8 |
| Carys Roy | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | +13.4 |
| Jada Mills | 6 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -6.6 |
| Jineen Ayyash | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.2 |
Merrimack Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Roman * | 36 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 30 | -14.5 |
| Oralye Kiefer * | 32 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 12 | -7.1 |
| Lydia Melaschenko * | 30 | 5-14 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | -12.9 |
| Paloma Garcia * | 28 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -10.3 |
| Se'Lah Reddick * | 23 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -7.5 |
| Molly Manion | 18 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +3.7 |
| Joi Williams | 15 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -5.0 |
| Makayla Thomas | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.5 |
| Kylee Fears | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.6 |
* = starter