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2025-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Duquesne Dukes Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 33.4% 66.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 35.7% 64.3% - ✓
Margin 16.1% 83.9% +9.1 ✓ (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 43.0% 57.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 42.7% 57.3% - ✓

Actual: Boise State Broncos +22 (86-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duquesne Dukes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jakub Necas * 32 6-9 1-1 0-0 9 1 0 2 3 13 13 -16.1
Tarence Guinyard * 31 0-5 0-4 1-2 3 3 0 0 1 1 1 -12.5
Jimmie Williams * 24 3-7 1-5 4-5 3 0 0 0 2 11 5 -7.0
John Hugley IV * 21 5-7 0-2 1-2 2 2 0 0 2 11 6 -13.7
Cameron Crawford * 13 0-5 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5 -10.7
Maximus Edwards 21 3-9 2-5 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 8 4 -5.2
David Dixon 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 2 2 2 0 2 8 -5.1
Dom Aekins 16 2-7 0-3 1-2 1 0 0 0 2 5 -3 -7.9
Jake DiMichele 14 4-6 1-2 2-3 1 0 0 1 0 11 7 -9.7
Alex Williams 8 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -2.8
Stef van Bussel 2 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -3.0

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dylan Andrews * 27 0-8 0-1 0-0 3 5 2 0 2 0 0 +13.9
Javan Buchanan * 26 4-10 2-3 5-6 2 2 1 0 1 15 9 +16.1
Andrew Meadow * 24 2-5 2-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 8 6 +7.0
RJ Keene * 21 0-1 0-1 0-0 6 3 1 0 0 0 9 +16.4
Drew Fielder * 21 8-13 2-2 5-5 3 1 2 0 1 23 15 +8.0
Pearson Carmichael 23 10-13 6-8 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 26 19 +10.8
Aginaldo Neto 21 0-3 0-2 2-2 4 4 0 0 2 2 5 +12.4
Spencer Ahrens 16 2-4 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 6 2 +8.0
Dominic Parolin 15 1-2 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 0 1 3 4 +6.8
Rayzhon Bergersen 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -1.0
Bhan Buom 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +0.0
Ethan Lathan 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -1.0
Brennan Ramirez 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

* = starter