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2025-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Stony Brook Seawolves Duquesne Dukes Spread Result
Elo 33.1% 66.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 36.9% 63.1% - ✓
Margin 10.8% 89.2% +11.6 ✓ (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 38.9% 61.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 38.2% 61.8% - ✓

Actual: Duquesne Dukes +9 (84-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stony Brook Seawolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rob Brown III 38 4-11 2-5 2-2 1 2 2 1 0 12 7 -0.4
Erik Pratt 34 7-16 2-6 3-4 6 6 0 0 3 19 12 +2.3
Richard Goods 32 7-15 4-6 1-2 10 1 2 0 2 19 15 +0.7
Quin Gorman 29 2-5 0-3 3-4 7 2 0 3 1 7 13 -5.6
Toby Onyekonwu 22 4-6 1-3 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 9 5 -0.5
Andrej Shoshkikj 12 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -7.2
Tomas Valentiny 11 0-5 0-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 2 0 -0.6
Jonah Butler 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -4.5
Oleg Kojenets 8 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 2 -7.4
Ethan Simmon 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -8.7

Duquesne Dukes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tarence Guinyard 34 1-7 0-1 3-4 6 6 0 0 0 5 10 +8.1
Jakub Necas 30 3-7 1-4 4-5 9 1 1 2 1 11 16 +8.3
Jimmie Williams 26 6-9 3-5 2-2 5 2 1 0 0 17 16 +4.0
Cameron Crawford 26 2-6 1-4 1-3 5 1 1 0 2 6 5 +4.0
John Hugley IV 23 8-15 2-5 7-8 5 2 0 0 1 25 16 +3.9
David Dixon 15 2-3 1-1 2-3 4 1 0 0 3 7 6 -2.7
Jake DiMichele 14 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 0 +2.7
Maximus Edwards 14 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 2 0 1 1 3 3 +2.7
Alex Williams 10 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 5 3 -2.2
Dom Aekins 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 -1.0
Stef van Bussel 2 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 +5.0

* = starter