Model Predictions
| Model | North Florida Ospreys | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.0% | 99.0% | +25.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +23 (84-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Florida Ospreys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamrin Oriol | 38 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 1 | -20.2 |
| Kent Jackson | 32 | 2-11 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | -16.4 |
| BJ Plummer | 26 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 4 | -4.9 |
| Dalton Gayman | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -1.2 |
| Mason Lee | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -17.6 |
| Nestor Dyachok | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +3.2 |
| Devin Hines | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -11.7 |
| Trey Cady | 14 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | -18.8 |
| Dante Oliver | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -3.8 |
| Taylor Thompson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.1 |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Derkack | 29 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | +18.4 |
| Amael L'Etang | 26 | 6-12 | 0-4 | 2-5 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 19 | +7.7 |
| Jacob Conner | 23 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +4.4 |
| Javon Bennett | 23 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | +17.4 |
| Keonte Jones | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | +16.5 |
| De'Shayne Montgomery | 21 | 9-10 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 18 | +30.2 |
| Bryce Heard | 19 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -6.7 |
| Jaiun Simon | 18 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.7 |
| Malcolm Thomas | 14 | 7-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 13 | +9.8 |
| Makai Grant | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2.1 |
| Evan Dickey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Damon Friery | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
* = starter