Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.9% | 92.1% | +13.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +13 (86-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Bennett | 36 | 8-22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 0 | -3.7 |
| De'Shayne Montgomery | 33 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | -18.9 |
| Jordan Derkack | 27 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 8-10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 5 | -2.0 |
| Keonte Jones | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Amael L'Etang | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -12.1 |
| Jacob Conner | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6.2 |
| Jaiun Simon | 17 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +5.4 |
| Bryce Heard | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -1.3 |
| Malcolm Thomas | 9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thijs De Ridder | 28 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +8.1 |
| Johann Grünloh | 26 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -2.4 |
| Chance Mallory | 25 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 9-10 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | +2.9 |
| Jacari White | 24 | 9-9 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 19 | +10.8 |
| Sam Lewis | 24 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | +1.1 |
| Devin Tillis | 24 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | +14.0 |
| Dallin Hall | 22 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +5.1 |
| Ugonna Onyenso | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 14 | -0.3 |
| Malik Thomas | 13 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter