Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | Siena Saints | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.7% | 96.3% | +18.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Siena Saints +15 (76-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flash Burton | 38 | 7-18 | 3-11 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 12 | -3.3 |
| Zion Cruz | 34 | 7-17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 2 | -0.4 |
| Caleb Smith | 33 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | +5.9 |
| Shemani Fuller | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -0.2 |
| Davis Bynum | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.1 |
| AB Coulibaly | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3.5 |
| Cole McCabe | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -5.1 |
| Jamir McNeil | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -10.7 |
| Daniel Helterhoff | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +3.2 |
| Antwan Wilson | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +1.2 |
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Doty | 40 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | -1.3 |
| Justice Shoats | 39 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | +9.5 |
| Francis Folefac | 38 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 13-15 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 34 | +0.8 |
| Riley Mulvey | 33 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 13 | +9.9 |
| Brendan Coyle | 33 | 6-10 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | -4.7 |
| Isaiah Henderson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9.5 |
| Christian Jones | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.6 |
| Danny Murray | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Chris Torres | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Mosi Clayton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
* = starter