Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | Siena Saints | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.7% | 96.3% | +18.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Siena Saints +15 (76-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Burton | 38 | 7-18 | 3-11 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Z. Cruz | 34 | 7-17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 2 | - |
| C. Smith | 33 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| S. Fuller | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| D. Bynum | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Coulibaly | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. McCabe | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. McNeil | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Helterhoff | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Wilson | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Doty | 40 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| J. Shoats | 39 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| F. Folefac | 38 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 13-15 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 34 | - |
| B. Coyle | 33 | 6-10 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| R. Mulvey | 33 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| I. Henderson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Jones | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Murray | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Torres | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Clayton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter